Showing posts with label FOGL. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FOGL. Show all posts

Saturday, 12 June 2010

Few want to friends with BP

Listed on the London Stock Exchange:

BP 391.90p +15.60p (+4.14%) - since purchase on 10/6/2010
BARC 290.85p +2.25p (+0.78%)
CAU 46.25p -1.75p (-3.65%)
CRWN 30.50p 0.00p (0.00%)
FPER 5.50p +0.12p (+2.23%)
FCCN 42.00p 0.00p (0.00%)
FOGL 201.50p +0.65p (+0.32%) - since purchase on 11/6/2010
GAR 3.38p 0.00p (0.00%)
JKX 240.40p +8.40p (+3.62%)
LLOY 54.33p -1.11p (-2.00%)
LLPE 59.75p 0.00p (0.00%)
MAI 153.50p -2.50p (-1.60%)
QQ. 119.80p -8.20p (-6.41%)
RBS 42.37p -1.12p (-2.58%)
UNG 2.88p +0.13p (+4.55%)

Listed on New York Stock Exchange:

C $3.88 +$0.09 (+2.37%)

The euro debt crisis never seems to go away for now since Hungary may be the next Greece. That, fears over levy on banks and BP's continuing problems sent the markets down earlier this week. Then it began to rise again due to mainly strong metal export data from China. Worse than expected US job and retail sales data interrupted the rise towards the end of the week a little bit but it was not enough to reverse the direction. Overall FTSE All-Share finished the week 0.78% up while my portfolio finished 0.68%, due to concerns of LLOY and RBS exposure to the euro debt crisis. The portfolio loss is now 3% (3.1% if BP (BP.) and Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL) not included). 

On Wednesday rumours of BP's problems regarding the oil spill resulting the company going insolvent sent it's share price down 16% to 348p before recovering most of the loss on the same day. It seems that particular noisy information have caused this massive overreaction as traders and investors sold their stakes in huge numbers. I went in the opposite direction, that is, I bought some shares in the company near it's two year low.  At that point I realised that the stock may be a contrarian one since it's share price fell massively from around almost 660p. This is the preliminary analysis I have done so far on the stock as at the close of 11/6/2010:


The stock is within the lowest two quintiles for P/E, P/BV and P/CF. It is within the highest two quintiles for dividend yield. I will provide the full analysis about week from now.

I also bought shares in FOGL because there is a good probability of the firm, along with Rockhopper Exploration (RKH), finding economically viable oil north of the Falkland Islands based on very sound preliminary drilling test results.

Saturday, 5 June 2010

Things are a bit volatile out there

Listed on the London Stock Exchange:

BARC 288.60p -16.50p (-5.41%)
CAU 48.00p +0.50p (+1.05%)
CRWN 30.50p 0.00p (0.00%)
FPER 5.38p +0.13p (+2.48%)
FCCN 42.00p -4.00p (-8.70%)
GAR 3.38p 0.00p (0.00%)
JKX 232.00p -2.30p (-0.98%)
LLOY 55.44p -1.18p (-2.08%)
LLPE 59.75p -0.25p (-0.43%)
MAI 156.00p -1.00p (-0.64%)
QQ. 128.00p -1.50p (-1.16%)
RBS 43.49p -3.24p (-6.93%)
UNG 2.75p +0.13p (+4.76%)

Listed on New York Stock Exchange:

C $3.79 -$0.17 (-4.29%)

This week's big things have the markets sent the markets up and down. First, BP's continuing problems regarding the oil spillage in the Gulf of Mexico after the top kill method fails to plug the leak. Second, Prudential's bid for AIG's Asian business fails after the US State refuses to lower the price. The revolt from it's shareholders is due to the price being too high in the current economic climate. The firm will have to pay massive fees to the advisers and a break fee to AIG leading to concerns to it's future. Thirdly, generally good company news from the US stock markets sent the UK markets up. Lastly, worse than expected US job figures have caused a classic overreaction through sell off of stocks. Lets hope for the best which it will come.

Credit crisis of 2008

Credit crisis of 2008
Depiction of banks receiving bailout from the state.